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Kick-off: Tuesday, 15 March @19:45 GMT
Venue: Estadio Vicente Calderon (Madrid)
Live Stream: fuboTV (US), bet365 (non-US)
Head to head record
PSV vs Atletico Madrid 0-0 (2015/2016 Champions League)
Atletico Madrid vs PSV 2-1 (2008/2009 Champions League)
PSV vs Atletico Madrid 0-3 (2008/2009 Champions League)
Atletico Madrid vs PSV prediction
Atletico Madrid play host to PSV at their Estadio Vicente Calderon in the Champions League last 16, return leg. The two teams played out a goalless draw in the first leg, meaning that los Rojiblancos need to go for a win in the return leg.
Estadio Vicente Calderon – the fortress
Atletico Madrid failed to turn their dominance into goals in the Philips Stadion clash, but it has to be noted that Luciano Vietto and Antoine Griezmann were firing blanks in the first leg. Los Rojiblancos are on a four-game winning run in La Liga and seeing that they outclassed the likes of Real Sociedad and Deportivo in previous two home fixtures in the national championship, it is no surprise Diego Simeone’s troops are regarded as favourites to advance to the Champions League quarter-finals. Atletico Madrid made it to the Champions League final two seasons ago and they want to go all the way in the elite competition this time out. Los Rojiblancos are eyeing their third consecutive win at home ground in the Champions League, but they will have to prove their worth on the field. A man to watch in the home team will be Antoine Griezmann, who has been scoring goals for fun of late.
Tiago Mendes and Stefan Savic are both sidelined with injury, while Ferreira Carrasco returns to contention after missing the first leg with injury. Diego Simeone has no other selection worries ahead of the visit of PSV and he is likely to stick to the 4-4-2 formation.
Uphill task for PSV
PSV were producing fine displays in the Champions League group stages, with the team leaving CSKA and Manchester United behind them in the standings, but they face a difficult task in the tie against Atletico Madrid. The Dutch outfit managed to hold los Rojiblancos to a goalless draw in the first leg, but preventing the La Liga side from scoring at “Calderon” is easier said than done. Philip Cocu’s team are not regarded as good travelers and you should have in mind that they suffered six defeats in previous eight away matches in the Champions League. The good news for the fans is that top score Luuk de Jong returns to the starting line-up after missing the first leg through suspension and all eyes will be on him when the two teams take on each other at Estadio Vicente Calderon in the Champions League last 16, second leg.
Pereiro will have to serve his ban in the return leg as he was sent off in the Philips Stadion game, while Jose Andres Guardado and Maxime Lestienne are both doubtful.
Quick Facts
- PSV conceded 2+ goals in six of their last eight away games in the Champions League
- Atletico Madrid are eyeing their fourth consecutive clean sheet at home
- Los Rojiblancos suffered only one loss in previous 14 home games in the Champions League
- PSV suffered a 2-1 loss to Atletico Madrid in their last meeting at “Calderon”
- Atletico Madrid recorded a 2-0 win over Galatasaray in their last home fixture in the CL
Atletico Madrid vs PSV betting tip
In my opinion, David faces Goliath at Estadio Vicente Calderon on Tuesday evening. Over the years Atletico Madrid have turned “Calderon” into a real fortress and given PSV’s poor away record in the elite competition, there is every chance the La Liga side will emerge triumphant in the return leg. Diego Simeone can count on all of his key players for the PSV game and home win appears on the horizon.
Tip: Atletico/Atletico
Odds: 1.90 (9/10) @Unibet
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